Mortgage rates fall for first time in months
FILE – This is a home in Mount Lebanon, Pa., under contract, Oct. 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar, file)
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(The Hill) — Mortgage rates dipped slightly last week for the first time in more than two months amid the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight with inflation, according to data released Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).
MBA’s weekly survey shows the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate falling to 7.06% , down from 7.16 a week earlier, and applications decreasing for the sixth-straight week. Rates, however, remained near the highest level in two decades.
The share of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM’s), which rose recently as mortgage rates surged, declined from the previous week to 11.8% of total applications.
Despite the small drop in the 30-year fixed rate, mortgage rates are significantly higher than last year and continue to challenge buyers and the housing market overall.
“Apart from the ARM loan rate, rates for all other loan types were more than three percentage points higher than they were a year ago,” Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, said in a statement.
“These elevated rates continue to put pressure on both purchase and refinance activity and have added to the ongoing affordability challenges impacting the broader housing market, as seen in the deteriorating trends in housing starts and home sales,” Kan added.
Meanwhile, the share of refinance activity stayed low as homeowners are hesitant to risk losing their low rates.
“With most homeowners locked into significantly lower rates, refinance applications continued to run more than 80% below last year’s pace, while the refinance share of applications was 28.6%– the fifth straight week below 30%,” Kan said.
The drop in mortgage rates follows months of steady increases fueled by the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest hikes to curb rising inflation. And experts expect the Fed to increase rates again during the U.S. central bank’s meeting on Wednesday.
Overall, the Fed’s fight with inflation has led to a dramatic cooling of the once red-hot housing market.
Surging rates in recent weeks have led to record home price deceleration and plummeting pending sales. The number of homes under contract fell for the fourth consecutive month in September, declining by 10.2% from August, according to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
And NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun expects high rates to linger.
“The new normal for mortgage rates could be around 7% for a while,” Yun said in a statement last week.
“On a $300,000 loan, that translates to a typical monthly mortgage payment of nearly $2,000, compared to $1,265 just one year ago – a difference of more than $700 per month. Only when inflation is tamed will mortgage rates retreat and boost home purchasing power for buyers,” Yun said.