(NewsNation) — Democrats are now favored to win 51 seats in the Senate after November’s midterm elections, according to new polling data from Decision Desk HQ.
Decision Desk considers races in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Georgia as toss ups or leaning Democrat, which is why the polling group shifted the Senate from 50-50 to 51-49 in favor of the Democrats. The Democrats control the Senate with 50 seats, because Vice President Kamala Harris casts a tie-breaking vote.
Decision Desk HQ’s new polling data suggests Democrats are likely to pick up a Senate seat in Pennsylvania. It projects an 80% chance Democrat John Fetterman will defeat Republican Mehmet Oz.
The Senate race in Ohio between Republican J.D. Vance and Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan has shifted from leaning Republican to a “toss up,” according to Decision Desk HQ’s data. It predicts Vance has a 60% chance to beat Ryan.
Georgia’s Senate race between Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker is now considered to be a “likely” Democratic win, according to Decision Desk HQ.